OVERCOMPLICATED TRADING

Human tends to over-complicate things. It is in our nature to try and improve what we have but most of the time we overcomplicated things and forget about the simple solution. In my previous post, I posted a chart of a basic system. It consist of candle stick chart, moving average and macd. Only 3 indicators and it is a very simple system rite?The answer is, it is not so simple actually. Candle stick alone tell you 4 things that is, open, close, high and low price. MA tells you direction of trend, entry point, start and end of trend. Macd tell you trend, entry point, reversal point. From only 3 indicators there are actually 11 information cramp into that small chart. Too much info and decision making is a hard job. Though i filter comments, no one has actually ask about the amount of information on chart. It seems people can accept 11 information at once. Can you manage 11 input at once and make a decision out of it??Trading is actually much simpler. It is actually possible to make profit with only 1 information. Believe it or not??

A BASIC SYSTEM

I posted a basic system before with a chart of GbpUsd. Now I am going to use the same system and post the same pairs again.Now GbpUsd has cross above LWMA55 and Macd has cross also. This is a new signal. So from now on only consider long position on GbpUsd. Btw anyone notice the price on this chart with the one i posted earlier?Someone posted trade details. It seems the way I am trading will make me go bankrupt. All I can say is you dont have the idea what Forex is. Maybe I may not know how to handle the current market but my demo account has no drawdown. Maybe its coz im lucky. I just dont know. I have stop trading the demo on marketiva. For $30 for the monthly winner. It is just a waste of time (Now I am going to reverse trade it). Instead I go for Instaforex forex sniper. Prize money is $1500 for weekly winner. Check out the banner on top.

FOREX 4TH ANNIVERSARY

Today marks the end of 4th year I am in Forex and I am still here. Most of the friends that I know trade has already stop. It must mean something to stay here for so long when most people quit. Its either I am really stubborn or I am not losing money. Which one you think?

















After 3 days of demo trading I got over 25k of profit from 10k max lot trading. Its over 250pip net profit. Not bad for a part time trader and a 7th place so far. I dont think I can be number 1 coz of limited time I trade. Its a good progress, it shows where I am after 4 years. How about you?

A BASIC SYSTEM

Any system need to have a very good basic to stand on. Once the basic is sort out, then all the accessories can be add on. Just remember not to add too much to it.













Today I am going to give a basic system. It consist of only 2 indicators. Being simple, it is able to generate good signal. Just remember to put SL properly. Indicators:1. LWMA 552. MACD standard settingTime frame: 30mStop Loss : 35 pipsTake Profit : 35 pips or more. Currencies : EurUsd, GbpUsd, EurJpy, GbpJpyTrading System:LWMA act as a thin trend line. If the price is above it, its uptrend. If the price is below it, its downtrend. So you buy or sell according to trend. Never reverse trade. MACD also shows the trend. If MACD is above 0, its uptrend and the other way around. I have put 3 vertical lines in the chart where MACD cross 0. Once MACD cross 0, you should only trade according to trend. You entry should be on the LWMA 55 or close. At the moment MACD has cross 0 and is heading down. From now on only consider short position. Try to enter as close as possible to LWMA 55. Caution has to be taken, even though MACD has cross the trend is not yet full down actually. There is another indicator that I use to show trend and its not full down yet. Unfortunately that indicator is no where in the chart because it is not on GbpUsd chart. It is somewhere else. Now you wonder why its not there. The truth is most people fail because what they are looking for is not there. That is what I meant with looking at the wrong direction. The trend indicator for GbpUsd is not on GbpUsd chart. Weird isnt it?You can take this basic system and try to add on what ever system you have. Hopefully it is useful. Good Luck

THE ENDING IS NEAR

1,447 days ago I started to step in the world of Forex. 6th May 2006 is the day I registered my 1st demo account and its a Saturday. Through out my journey in Forex, there are no actual manual, text or books that I can really refer to. Its like an unexplored land with no maps what so ever. There are only guides available online with no one giving specific answer.Though hard it may be I started to develop my own system and continue to improve on that system. No matter how I try to improve it, there is still something missing. After a long and hard work I finally got the answer. It is an answer that I wasn't willing to accept. So I disappeared for almost 1 year though my part of moving places only took 1 month to settle. Now I am back trading with the answer in my head thus a new direction in my sight. Turns out it is really easy once you have the right answer. You know the question as well as I do. "WHAT IS FOREX". I believe my learning period in Forex is almost over. I can now see direction clearly. I know which pair to trade with the highest probability of profit. I know when to exit and I know when to turn off the computer while still holding positions. I have mastered the basic of Forex. The only thing now is discipline and Money Management. What I am not willing to do is to write in this blog about trading ideas. I may blow out the answer. After almost 4 years, its not something I am willing to give easily. There are no notes, no records, nothing written anywhere on my trading ideas. Its all in my head. My system now is so simple, it consist of only 2 main indicators which I can trade without. Find the answer and its all smooth sailing from there. I just wish I have found it earlier. For those of you who show interest in my new trading system, thank you for the attention. I have stopped giving out my system due to limited time I have to teach. I dont teach, I dont sell my system, I dont ask for your money and I dont give signals.You can come and visit this blog. I will give chart analysis from time to time. Dont expect too much coz there is not much in Forex anyway. Good luck to all of you. Thank you for visiting my blog. For today, do sell GJ coz its going down. You just need to figure out where to enter. Its not an easy task, I know coz Ive been there.

A TRADER'S TOOLS

A mechanic has many tools. Each tools with its own usage and purpose. It is only down to intelligence and creativity that separates a good mechanic and a bad one.Like a mechanic, a trader has many tools as well. Each indicator is a tool for the trader and a combination set of tools with rules is a trading system. A good trader has not 1 but many system. Each system has different purpose. It is down to knowledge and creativity that separates a good trader and a bad one apart from portfolio.The best time frame to trade is the lower time frame but due to noise and spikes it is difficult to trade using lower timeframe. It is the reason why most trades fail in short time frame. EurUsd has been ranging for the past few days and due to it, has hit my stop loss twice. Being a trend trader myself, I just cannot trade during these ranging period. So I stopped trading and try to make a new trading system using lower time frame to catch these ranging market. It seems with a new set of tools (not new actually, had not used them for a while), I have manage to create an almost perfect trading system for all time frame but with the target of 15m chart. The only thing that this new system doesnt show is when not to trade which i made up with a new set of rules. If any of you would like to try the new trading system please leave your email. I will try to get back to you ASAP.

EURGBP DROP

Yesterday I wrote about EG connection. Guess what, I took the whole EG drop and run away with it. Right now all live post on EG is closed, profit in the bag :).I was so confident on EG drop I was betting 50% of my capital on it on 1 post only. Quiet a risk and really worth it. I feel like I just won a horse race :))EU still up there and there is a killer spike up to 1.3537. Atm I on sideline watching for opportunity. Fing lol email me on your progress. Really like to hear how you are doing.

EURGBP CONNECTION

Here is a homework for some of you. Your task is to find the connection between EurGbp with Eur pairs (EurUsd, EurJpy) and Gbp (GbpUsd, GbpJpy) pairs. You can post in comments about your findings so that we can discuss. Discussion is always a good learning method since you are required to think and not spoon fed. EURUSD has finally reached its top. Entry point for me is between 1.3450 - 1.3500. You can find a suitable entry point or wait for the pair to really go down and take your entry. At the moment that entry is still a high risk entry. I am giving an early heads up so you guys can prepare. Btw dont post link or whatever you want to promote in comments. I will not allow it and there is no such thing as 100% accurate forex signal. When are you guys gonna get it. There is no such thing as 100% in life.

CHART ANALYSIS - EURUSD
I think I will give chart analysis from now on. Its easier to do and easier for you guys to get confused :). First up is EurUsd. Not very hard to trade actually once you know the direction.Ok lets go to the confusing part. That is the charts.


















There you go. Weekly chart for starters. Can any of you guess which way is EU going? From the looks of it, EU is really going down and its a fast one. Easy isn't it?Next chart please. 1 chart isn't going to get anyone confused.

















Next is the Daily chart. Guess what, daily is also pointing down but at the moment it is in oversold position. CCI is way down there and making a U turn. Expect correction at daily level. So far 2 charts says EU down with a correction coming.Another chart. Anyone confused yet???


















This is the hourly chart. We can see where the correction is. Its really climbing now. So before anyone get anymore confuse I would say wait for the hourly chart to point down then you sell. Plan for the worse hope for the best. Keep your money management tight and you may survive the storm.Btw dont sell EU yet. That sell line is for me to mark S&R. If EU do go down next target is 1.30 and 1.25 based on S&R on weekly chart.Now the question is, how long do we have to wait before selling EU. The answer is I dont know. Just wait and see. It is what Forex is. Anyone here still confused?? I do :)

ITS NOT PIPS BUT PROFIT IN FOREX

You can actually tell if someone is new in Forex by the way they count their pips or profit. When people starts forex they count pips. They can have hundreds of pips a day and yet their profit is low. This is due to the low risk reward ratio they have taken. Once you are older in Forex, you will see the ratio. No point of taking hundreds of pips when the profit is low. So you start to take high risk high return trade. These trades do not give you high pips but the profit margin is high.That is how money is to be made in Forex. You actually manage your risk and take profit from it. For today as of now, I already taken 3 trades. 2 profit trades and 1 lost trade. My account grows 37%. Not bad for a slow Monday. For the answer to Forex, once you know it you will feel helpless. No matter how smart or brilliant you are it counts for absolutely nothing here. I have Banking and IT qualification. Did that help me? 2 different qualification did not help me one bit here. Made me want to cry when I found it out.

NEXT UP EURGBP

EurGbp is going up so those of you who have the guts do buy EG at every dip refer to chart 1H or lower to view.I got lots of email and calls asking me about the secret of forex and how to trade. What if I tell you the answer is not as u expected it to be. Some people even rejected the answer when I told them. I dont blame them. When I found the answer I feel like Im going to cry. Its hard to accept something the logical mind cannot understand. In the mean time, take it slow and enjoy the ride.People say seeing is believing. 2 post already TP. Another 1 more for weeks to come. Forgot to mention. Possible retrace at the price in the picture. So TP at will reentry on next low.

AN EYE ON AUDUSD

AU manage to hold its level when both EU and GU fall down dramatically. Do look at the daily chart to see what I mean.Some of your might not understand what it means and so do I :) Dont worry, the longer you are in Forex the more info you will filter out. This is coz some things are not worth understanding. The reason I am pointing this out is when a pair is making a stand like AU, you can actually use it to your advantage. Advantages such as:1. The next time AU decide to fall down there is a high probability the EU and GU will crash but there is a limit to everything.2. The next time EU and GU start to climb, AU will fly.Keep that in mind coz I do. I am waiting for the AU to fall or fly.

LOST IN FOREX

Have you ever been lost in Forex? Some of you might be thinking, how do i get lost in forex?? Let me ask another question. Have you ever open a trade in one direction, after some time open a trade in the opposite direction?Im sure that happens to all of us, myself included :). That is lost in Forex, where we are unsure of direction of trade. Some people even hedge in the situation.I have a few tips when you are lost in Forex. 1. If you are lost and dont know which direction to trade, the most important thing is to stop trading and do something else. Go plant a tree or play games. Dont even look at the charts anymore to avoid confusion.2. Is to take a trading system and put it on multiple time frame. I trade using the same system on 3 timeframe. 15m, 1h, daily. When all three is pointing at the same direction then I trade. If 2 timeframe is pointing at the same direction then i scalp. 3. After sometime, your brain will start to imprint patterns of Forex. Forex has the same pattern over and over again. In our mind, that pattern has been imprinted and it influence our decision making subconsciously. Once you reach that state you will rarely get lost in Forex. You will know the exact time to trade or to get lost (do something else).I will try to update this blog. Been so long and so busy with new place. As for Forex, USD pairs are going nowhere at the moment with a high probability to go down further. Good luck on your hunt for pips

Free Forex Signal 8/12/2006

Its been a while since I posted signal. Anyway here it is. Hope its good.1. Short Aud/Usd @ 0.7905 or better. Target 0.7850, 0.7780.2. Long Usd/Jpy @ 114.80 or better. Target 115.60, 116.70.Happy Trading. Btw I cannot be held responsible for any loss from the signal above.

Free Forex Signal

Eur/UsdEur/Usd is currently at 1.2862. From my calculation Eur/Usd has an upper range of 1.2880 - 1.2950. Possible trade is short Eur/Usd @ 1.2880 or better.Gbp/UsdGbp/Usd is currently at 1.9102. As stated in my other blog, possible trade is short Gbp/Usd @ 1.9100 or better wih upper range of 1.9100 -1.9150Aud/UsdPossible trade short Aud/Usd @ 0.7710 or better. Already gone down now. Btw i shorted from 0.7751. Its a good trade so far.

In The Land Of Forex

In The Land Of Forex, Trend Is KingThose are the words i hold on to in forex. No matter what happen in technical or fundamental study. Always follow the trend. Trend is king. Follow the king and you will be rewarded handsomely.

555 Forex Trading System

FOREX TRADING SYSTEMThis forex trading system is part of my full forex trading system. I post it just to help out new traders to develop their own trading system. This forex system can be use on all pairs. It is far from perfect but can give you an idea how to trade and develop your own forex trading system. Maybe in the future if you manage to improve this system you may want to share with me. Anyway here it goes.Time Frame : 4 hoursMA's : SMA5 or SMA8 which ever suits you better, SMA55TSF : Period=55Bollinger Band : MA=simple, Period=55, Multiple=2.0Stochastic Slow : Period = 10,3,3, simple, simpleStochastic Fast : Period = 13,3 Exponential
FOREX CHARTS






For the 1st chart I use usd/jpy pair for 4 hour timeframe. Remember this forex system is designed for 4 hour time frame but can be use on all pairs. In this forex system, MA8 (Red) and TSF55 (Blue) is the indicator for long or short trade. When the red is above blue = long and vice versa. BB55 and SMA55 is the target. Both the stochastic is for confirmation on trade position.
When price is at BB55 either at the top or bottom and both stochastic is showing extreme value, it may signal a reversal. A confirm reversal is when price broke the red and blue line. The price itself is the ultimate indicator. Once the price broke the 2 lines, find the best possible entry. Normally the best entry is when the price is at the blue line. If after you enter the trade, and the price gain momentum in your favour just let it run and ride it till its finish.
Below is the explaination for the above chart
Price spike out of BB55. As mentioned before, BB55 acts as targets. In this case usd/jpy already reach its target based on this system but the momentum is still strong based on distance of Red and Blue line.
Price spike out of BB55 again but this time the price close below the Red line. This indicates the momentum is dead and a reversal coming soon.
Ideal entry. Red below Blue line indicates a short position. Price is at the Blue line. Short now and let it run until it meet BB55 at the bottom
Price went through BB55 and then goes flat at this point. It is making its way back into BB55 and a flat Red line indicating the momentum is dead and a reversal is coming soon. At this point the entry for long position is the lowest price inside BB55.
Price spike out of BB55 but cannot make new high. This is where I exit and enter a new short position. Let it run until the momentum is dead.
If you look at point 1,2,3 and 5. All are high point and all of them is higher than the previous high. This is and indication that usd/jpy is actually going up but as forex moves in waves we sometimes get lost and fail to see the big picture. In this case what ever you do, follow the trend and always remember that the big picture is usd/jpy is going uptrend. Be prepare if the market suddenly shoot up. Remember always use stop loss properly. Forex is a risky market, do manage your risk properly.

Forex Signal

USD/CADusd/cad is currently at 1.1270 with a high of 1.1305. Looking at the chart, it has lost its momentum eventhough the uptrend is still intact. It may hover around 1.1240 - 1.1310 for a while.Possible Trade:Short usd/cad @ 1.1300 or better.Target: 1.1180, 1.11201, 1.1080.Caution:If usd/cad overshoot 1.1315, then its possible that it will go long. This is because usd/cad is currently going uptrend. It will be constantly making new high.

Forex Trade Review

Last Friday, Non-Farm Payrolls is out. This is like fuel for Usd and it effect all pair especially eur/usd and gbp/usd. Last friday the report came out a mixed bag. People are confused and the price swing up and down. I was on the losing side of the trade but because of the swing at certain point I was 30 pips up but because Marketiva usually lock out during news hour, I finally end up at a lost. Well its forex anyway. If you dont lose in forex you dont feel the thrill.Anyway Im going to review few pairs. Maybe some of you can find a trade from my review. As for me I am currently out of the market waiting for it to come to sense. Currently all pairs are at extreme oversold or overbought.Eur/UsdCurrently at 1.2532 after a drop of almost 200 pips. Currently its on a thin downtrend with a possible target of 1.2450. For those of you who are already on a short position, you may hold the position with trailing stop loss of your choice. For me I will only consider an entry at 1.2450, that will depend on the strength of the momentum.Gbp/UsdCurrently at 1.8540 and just like eur/usd it drop like a rock during NFP report out. Possible target is 1.8200. Looks like a retrace coming soon. Just watch the trend and momentum for possible entry. I will be looking at this one.Usd/CadCurrently at 1.1330. My last signal manage to get me 30 pips. Too small for the effort. Currently going up with possible target of 1.1450. Overshot all indicators. Possible retrace at 1.1360. I will be watching this one.This is my review. Its not a trade recommendation. Be very carefull on your trade coz forex is a risky market. If you are not sure better stay out until the market make some sense. Happy trading.

Free Forex Signal

Everybody likes free things. So do I but I like to give free things as well. In the future I will post Free Forex Signal in this blog. Before anyone trade on those free forex signal, I would like to warn you that I will not take responsibility on any profit or lost by using my free forex signal.If anyone here like to see what kind of signal I give here is one example . Btw in that signal gbp/usd gave me over 300 pips. Happy trading.

Marketiva Scam????

Read some very interesting review on marketiva. It seems that some people classified Marketiva as scam. I dont mind since im still using their $5. To me marketiva is a learning platform. Btw one review for you to read:"I would not trust any company with no background info. I had asked to see who or what is behind the company before depositing funds. No response. I believe there is some type of long term scam here. Something is not right compared to other brokers. Also it is a bit strange that you can open an acct. with no I.D. Last but not least, beware the glowing reviews of Marketiva spread out on forums. Most if not all of these posts are made by actual Marketiva admins posing fraudulently as investors. You can easily pick them out. They are the ones using obvious marketing slogans and pushing the free $5 for joining. The $5 is just a ploy to sucker in the new trader.The rest of the posts are from those promoting their referral links.I'm of the opinion that Marketiva is a total bucket shop. Like a ponzi, the money from losers lines the pockets of Marketiva and helps pay the few that make a profit. I seriously doubt any investor's money actually makes it onto the market. 95% of traders lose on average. This makes for a profitable business model especially when the investor is essentially trading on a demo account with real money. They know you are very likely to lose, so your money goes into the bucket and you are left blaming a bad market when you lose when in fact, your money never even made it there.Ok, thats enough ranting. Beware Marketiva and do your own research and due diligence checks on any broker you wish to join.Best of luck out there!"

Trend, Momentum and Timing

When doing technical analysis on forex. There are 3 factors that need to be properly recognise and use. They are trend, momentum and timing.TrendTrend is the tendency of movement to a particular direction. When it is uptrend, the price will move up and vice versa.Momentum.Momentum is the strength of movement. The stronger the momentum the stronger the move. When the momentum is finished, it will reverse.TimingTiming is when u enter the market. Enter only when the profit to risk ratio is good. Other than that better stay out.

What is a Pip?

The most common increment of currencies is the Pip. If the EUR/USD moves from 1.2250 to 1.2251, that is ONE PIP. A pip is the last decimal place of a quotation. The Pip is how you measure your profit or loss.
As each currency has its own value, it is necessary to calculate the value of a pip for that particular currency. In currencies where the US Dollar is quoted first, the calculation would be as follows.
Let’s take USD/JPY rate at 119.80 (notice this currency pair only goes to two decimal places, most of the other currencies have four decimal places)
In the case of USD/JPY, 1 pip would be .01
Therefore,
USD/JPY:
119.80.01 divided by exchange rate = pip value.01 / 119.80 = 0.0000834
This looks like a very long number but later we will discuss lot size.
USD/CHF:
1.5250.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value.0001 / 1.5250 = 0.0000655
USD/CAD:
1.4890.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip value.0001 / 1.4890 = 0.00006715
In the case where the US Dollar is not quoted first and we want to get the US Dollar value, we have to add one more step.
EUR/USD:
1.2200
.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip valueso.0001 / 1.2200 = EUR 0.0008196
but we need to get back to US dollars so we add another calculation which is
EUR x Exchange rateSo0.0008196 x 1.2200 = 0.00009999
When rounded up it would be 0.0001
GBP/USD:
1.7975.0001 divided by exchange rate = pip valueSo.0001 / 1.7975 = GBP 0.0000556
But we need to get back to US dollars so we add another calculation which is
GBP x Exchange rate
So0.0000556 x 1.7975 = 0.0000998
When rounded up it would be 0.0001
You’re probably rolling your eyes back and thinking do I really need to work all this out and the answer is no. Nearly all forex brokers will work all this out for you automatically. It’s always good for you to know how they work it out.

How To Make Money Trading Forex

In the foreign exchange market, you buy or sell currencies. Placing a trade in the foreign exchange market is simple: the mechanics of a trade are very similar to those found in other markets (like the stock market), so if you have any experience in trading, you should be able to pick it up pretty quickly.
The object of forex trading is to exchange one currency for another in the expectation that the price will change so that the currency you bought will increase in value compared to the one you sold.
How to Read Forex Quote
Currencies are always quoted in pairs, such as EUR/USD or USD/CHF. The reason they are quoted in pairs is because in every foreign exchange transaction you are simultanesouly buying one currency and selling another. Here is an example of a foreign exchange rate of the British pound versus the U.S. dollar:
GBP/USD = 1.7500
The currency to the left of the slash ("/") is called the base currency (in this example, the British pound) and the one on the right is called the quote currency or counter currency (in this example, the U.S. dollar).
When buying, the exchange rate tells you how much you have to pay in units of the quote currency to buy one unit of the base currency. In the example above, you have to pay 1.7500 U.S. dollar to buy 1 British pound.
When selling, the exchange rate tells you how many units of the quote currency you get for selling one of the basis currency. In the example above, you will receive 1.7500 U.S. dollar when you sell 1 British pound.
The base currency is the “basis” for the buy or the sell. If you buy EUR/USD this simply means that you are buying the base currency and simultaneously selling the quote currency.
You would buy the pair if you belive the base currency will appreciate relative to the quote currency. You would sell the pair if you think the base currency will depreciate relative to the count currency.
Long/Short
First, you should determine whether you want to buy or sell.
If you want to buy (which actually means buy the base currency and sell the quote currency), you want the base currency to rise in value and then you would sell it back at a higher price. In trader's talk, this is called "going long" or taking a "long position". Just remember: long = buy.
If you want to sell (which actually means sell the base currency and buy the quote currency), you want the base currency to fall in value and then you would buy it back at a lower price. This is called "going short" or taking a "short position". Short = sell.
Bid/Ask Spread
All Forex quotes include a two-way price, the bid and ask. The bid is always lower than the ask price.
The bid is the price in which the dealer is willing to buy the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. This means the bid is the price in which you the trader will sell.
The ask is the price at which the dealer will sell the base currency in exchange for the quote currency. This means the ask is the price in which you the trader will buy.
The difference between the bid and the ask price is popularly know as the spread.
Let's take a look at an example taken from a trading software:
On this EUR/USD quote, the bid price is 1.2293 and the ask price is 1.2296. Look at how this broker makes it so easy for you to trade away your money. If you want to sell EUR, you click "Sell" and you will sell Euros at 1.2293. If you want to buy EUR, you click "Buy" and you will buy Euros at 1.2296.
In the following examples, I am going to use fundamental analysis to help us decide whether to buy or sell a specific currency pair. If you always fell asleep during your economics class or just flat out skipped economics class, don’t worry, we will cover fundamental analysis in a later lesson. For right now, try to pretend you know what’s going on.
EUR/USDIn this example euro is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you believe that the US economy will continue to weaken, which is bad for the US dollar, you would execute a BUY EUR/USD order. By doing so you have bought euros in the expectation that they will rise versus the US dollar. If you believe that the US economy is strong and the euro will weaken against the US dollar you would execute a SELL EUR/USD order. By doing so you have sold euros in the expectation that they will fall versus the US dollar.
USD/JPYIn this example the US dollar is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think that the Japanese government is going to weaken the Yen in order to help its export industry, you would execute a BUY USD/JPY order. By doing so you have bought U.S dollars in the expectation that they will rise versus the Japanese yen. If you believe that Japanese investors are pulling money out of U.S. financial markets and coverting all their U.S. dollars back to Yen, and this will hurt the US dollar, you would execute a SELL USD/JPY order. By doing so you have sold U.S dollars in the expectation that they will depreciate against the Japanese yen.
GBP/USDIn this example the GBP is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think the British economy will continue to do better than the United States in terms of growth, you would execute a BUY GBP/USD order. By doing so you have bought pounds in the expectation that they will rise versus the US dollar. If you believe the British's economy is slowing while the United State's economy remains vibrant, you would execute a SELL GBP/USD order. By doing so you have sold pounds in the expectation that they will depreciate against the US dollar.
USD/CHFIn this example the USD is the base currency and thus the “basis” for the buy/sell.
If you think the Swiss franc is overvalued, you would execute a BUY USD/CHF order. By doing so you have bought US dollars in the expectation that they will appreciate versus the Swiss Franc. If you believe that due to instability in Iraq and in U.S. financial markets the dollar will continue to weaken, you would execute a SELL USD/CHF order. By doing so you have sold US dollars in the expectation that they will depreciate against the Swiss franc.
I don't have enough money to buy $10,000 EUR. Can I still trade?
You can with margin trading! Margin trading is simply the term used for trading with borrowed capital. This is how you're able to open $10,000 or $100,000 positions with $50 or $1,000. You can conduct relatively large transactions, very quickly and cheaply, with a small amount of initial capital.
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market is quantified in lots. We will be discussing "lots' more in-depth on our next lesson. For now, just think of the term "lot" as the minimun amount of currencies you have to buy. When you go to the grocery store and want to buy an egg, you can't just buy a single egg, they come in dozens or "lots" of 12. In Forex, it'd be foolish to buy or sell $1 EUR, they usually come in "lots" of $10,000 or $100,000 depending on the type of account you have.
For Example:You believe that signals in the market are indicating that the British Pound will go up against the US Dollar. You open 1 lot ($100,000) for buying the Pound with a 1% margin at the price of 1.5000 and wait for the exchange rate to climb. This means you now control $100,000 worth of British Pound with $1,000. Your predictions come true and you decide to sell. You close the position at 1.5050. You earn 50 pips or about $500. (A pip is the smallest price movement available in a currency). So for an initial capital investment of $1,000, you have made 50% return. Return equals your $500 profit divided by your $1,000 you risked to trade.
Your Actions
GBP
USD
Your Money
You buy 100,000 pounds at the GBP/USD exchange rate of 1.5000
+100,000
-150,000
$1,000
You blink for two seconds and the GBP/USD exchange rate rises to 1.5050 and you sell.
-100,000
+150,500**
$1,500
You have earned a profit of $500.
0
+500
When you decide to close a position, the deposit that you originally made is returned to you and a calculation of your profits or losses is done. This profit or loss is then credited to your account.
We will also be discussing margin more in-depth in the next lesson, but hopefully you're able to get a basic idea of how margin works.
Rollover
No, this is not the same as rollover minutes from your cell phone carrier. For positions open at 5pm EST, there is a daily rollover interest rate that a trader either pays or earns, depending on your established margin and position in the market. If you do not want to earn or pay interest on your positions, simply make sure it is closed at 5pm EST, the established end of the market day.
Since every currency trade involves borrowing one currency to buy another, interest rollover charges are an inherent part of FX trading. Interest is paid on the currency that is borrowed, and earned on the one that is purchased. If a client is buying a currency with a higher interest rate than the one he/she is borrowing, the net differential will be positive (i.e. USD/JPY) – and the client will earn funds as a result. Ask your broker about specific details regarding rollover.

Welcome To The World Of Forex

Foreign Exchange (FOREX) is the arena where a nation's currency is exchanged for that of another. The foreign exchange market is the largest financial market in the world, with the equivalent of over $1.9 trillion changing hands daily; more than three times the aggregate amount of the US Equity and Treasury markets combined. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location and no central exchange. It operates through a global network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one currency for another. The lack of a physical exchange enables the Forex market to operate on a 24-hour basis, spanning from one zone to another in all the major financial centers.Forex is becoming more and more popular due to its availability over the internet and current high speed internet. Some people have made a living out of forex trading. Its not easy but we all have to start somewhere. Here there will be infomation on forex trading, forex brokers, forex signal, forex chart, technical study and fundamental study of forex and lots more.There will be other posters, other forex traders that will contribute article here. Come and learn to trade forex. See how easy it is actually to make money and to lose money as well.

Foreign exchange market

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Foreign exchange
Exchange ratesCurrency bandExchange rateExchange rate regimeFixed exchange rateFloating exchange rateLinked exchange rate
MarketsForeign exchange marketFutures exchangeRetail forex
ProductsCurrencyCurrency futureNon-deliverable forwardForex swapCurrency swapForeign exchange option

See alsoBureau de change / currency exchange (office)
The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a worldwide decentralized over-the-counter financial market for the trading of currencies. Financial centers around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of different types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends. The foreign exchange market determines the relative values of different currencies.[1]

The primary purpose of the foreign exchange market is to assist international trade and investment, by allowing businesses to convert one currency to another currency. For example, it permits a US business to import European goods and pay Euros, even though the business's income is in US dollars. It also supports speculation, and facilitates the carry trade, in which investors borrow low-yielding currencies and lend (invest in) high-yielding currencies, and which (it has been claimed) may lead to loss of competitiveness in some countries.[2]

In a typical foreign exchange transaction a party purchases a quantity of one currency by paying a quantity of another currency. The modern foreign exchange market started forming during the 1970s when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.

The foreign exchange market is unique because of its

• huge trading volume, leading to high liquidity
• geographical dispersion
• continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e. trading from 20:15 GMT on Sunday until 22:00 GMT Friday
• the variety of factors that affect exchange rates
• the low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income
  the use of leverage to enhance profit margins with respect to account size
• As such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal of perfect competition, notwithstanding market manipulation by central banks.[citation needed] According to the Bank for International Settlements,[3] average daily turnover in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion, as of April 2007. $3.21 Trillion is accounted for in the world's main financial markets.

The $3.21 trillion break-down is as follows:

• $1.005 trillion in spot transactions
• $362 billion in outright forwards
• $1.714 trillion in foreign exchange swaps
• $129 billion estimated gaps in reporting

ITS NOT PIPS BUT PROFIT IN FOREX

You can actually tell if someone is new in Forex by the way they count their pips or profit. When people starts forex they count pips. They can have hundreds of pips a day and yet their profit is low. This is due to the low risk reward ratio they have taken.Once you are older in Forex, you will see the ratio. No point of taking hundreds of pips when the profit is low. So you start to take high risk high return trade.

These trades do not give you high pips but the profit margin is high.That is how money is to be made in Forex. You actually manage your risk and take profit from it. For today as of now, I already taken 3 trades. 2 profit trades and 1 lost trade. My account grows 37%. Not bad for a slow Monday.For the answer to Forex, once you know it you will feel helpless. No matter how smart or brilliant you are it counts for absolutely nothing here. I have Banking and IT qualification. Did that help me? 2 different qualification did not help me one bit here. Made me want to cry when I found it out.Hunt pips but count profit. Good Luck

FREE FOREX SIGNAL - NOT REALLY

When people say free forex signal, it refer to an instruction to trade specific currency pair at a certain price. Normally this signal is based on the trader study and experience. It is more of a personal view of things to come.In certain cases the signal does work. In a different situation, it fails. This is because the person giving that signal is also a small trader. His study is based on either technical or fundamental with no real money to back it up. If that person is good, he will have enough followers and the total money traded towards his signal will back him up and make the currency move. If that person have very few followers, then he is swimming alone in a sea full of sharks.That is what most of us do. We do not coordinate and we work alone in forex. Thats why the sharks are taking their time and making easy picking of us, swallowing one at a time. It doesnt sounds good but its the truth.

Now you dont have to wonder why most people fails and why banks keep on making huge profit. If you want to take forex signal, take it from someone who you can trust from inside the banks. They have a lot more info and study on forex. The amount of info, knowlegde, manpower and money is impossible for any of us to compete. For some people who manage to find a method to be profitable in forex, its a good thing. You have found a way to take advantage of the system. The system after all is developed by human and human by itself is full of weaknesses. For those of you who is losing, its time to think about swimming alone is a sea of sharks. Time to find friends and help each other out in terms of knowledge and money power. Dont get me wrong,

I am in profit today. I have found a way to take advantage of the system though its like a mouse, stealing food one little bit at a time. Better to profit a little than losing all the time but for how long are you willing to be the small fish. Always jumping in and out of trade. Hoping for the trend to hold long enough for you to gain a little profit.In order for me to grow in forex, I need to team up. It has long been in my mind, just looking for the right opportunity and people. Anyone here think the same?

UPDATE

This blog has not been regularly updated. This is due to internet connection problem. It has been months now and my internet connection is still not up to 100% fitness level. I can post text but I cannot upload pictures or any attachment. I even opted to use my office internet during the day for my uploads. As for forex I am playing the short term game. 5 minute TF to be exact. It is much safer since my internet is not stable. Its a intraday system trading the 30 minute trend with a 5 minute signal for entry and exit. So far so good.

Actually the system is simple. It is based on MA and RSI only. Even trading is simple for me nowadays. It seems that experience changes me. I am no longer sitting in front of the PC hoping for miracle. There is no miracle in Forex. It is just knowledge and study so that the direction can be expected. The longer I trade the more I understand. After all I am still learning with every trade. Now I understand how people can trade from candlestick alone. This is because the best indicator is not on the screen but in your head. Use your brain, the best indicator of all.By the way just wanted to invite you to my flickr page.

Just an old hobby given new life with a new DSLR A350. Now I have 3 camera, each one with its own unique features. Do check out my flicr page and tell me if you like my photography style. Just needed to find a model for my portrait shot.Back to Forex its in ranging mode now but the daily chart is showing a weakness is trend. EU is a downtrend but is weakening at the moment. 30m chart is still showing a downtrend at the moment with 5m chart is supporting it.

So for today the best bet is to short EU but watch out for the long term trade.

A DIFFICULT MARKET CONDITION

It is not looking particularly well for GBPUSD. In the other hand, EURUSD and AUDUSD is looking good for a long term trade. I am taking the long position. It may take a very long time to profit but looking at the chart from a technical view, EURUSD and AUDUSD is in a good position for a long term trading.I dont exactly know the entry point but I do know the direction. It is time to monitor the shorter time frame in order to find the best possible entry and to minimize stop loss. It may take sometime but I dont care.

I have been waiting for this moment almost 2 months. Look at the charts and see the formation of daily, 4 hour, 30 minute and 5 minute. You may see something that took me over 2 years to see.

Only time can tell if my calculation is correct. At the moment I am still waiting for the 5 minute chart to give and entry signal.

ITS NOT THE SYSTEM

After more than 2 years of trading, I can tell you a story about forex system. Forex system is a way to trade to have higher chances of profit. Unfortunately not all forex system works. This is because its not the system that is not working. It is you.

What if I tell you that I have a system that consist of Moving Average only. The system can make profit and will minimize you loses or even give you a chance to break even during hard times.You would be thirll to test it out only to find out that in the end you are losing money and you say the system is crap. The truth is if one person is making money using the exact same system yet you are losing money. So where do you think the fault is?

Is it with the system or is it with yourself?You can never gain profit in Forex until you figure out what is wrong with you. Most of the time when you are losing money you would blame it on the market, news, system etc but never on yourself. Until you figure out what you did wrong, any system no matter how good will fail in your hands.

After you realize what you did wrong, then you can make money, seriously.When you know what not to do, you can trade without any indicator. I myself is trading using only MA now. Took me a while to understand but once you see it, you no longer depending on any indicator. It is your judgement that counts. I never know what I would learn the further I go in this world or Forex. Right now I am starting to understand why some traders trade without any indicator. The best indicator is in your brain. You just need to develope it. It will take some time.

No hurry.

TRADING ONLY WITH MOVING AVERAGE

At the moment I am rather busy. Moving to a new place and house. The house still needs a lot of work. As a result, I do not have time to update this blog. Trading is still going on but on a shorter timeframe. Result is consistent now. AudUsd is very kind at the moment with no sudden movement.In the next few weeks I will show you how to trade using only MA. As usual what works for me may not work for you. This is because some of you may not be able to follow the rules of the game.RULES OF THE GAME1. Trade based on your capital and the time that you have. The bigger your capital the longer the TF. The more time you have the longer the TF. Vice versa.2. Only trade at the direction pointed by the MA pairs. If the MA pairs is showing mixed direction, do not trade. The MA pairs must be pointing at the same direction.3. If a trade suddenly change direction, do not hesitate to close it at a loss and turn the trade. This is the hardest part where most of you failed.

Free your mind or become a loser all your life.4. Keep in mind, there is no such thing as winning all the time. Just make sure you win a lot more than you lose. In the end your profit will grow along with your confident.Simple system with simple rules. I like to keep it simple. No point of having the most complex system when simple system can have the same result. With this system you will be out of the market most of the time. This is because you will only be taking the big move and avoiding the small move and market noise. Last advise. Do not anticipate. Forex is not a game of inteligence eventhough this system at full swing will show you possible turning point. I am having a possible turning point for audusd at 0.7200 but I will not take it coz there will be market swing before the actual turn.

Why wast time waiting for the big move when you can actually see when its going to move.In the mean time, good luck for all of you. I will be back once my pc is online again. At the moment I am posting this on a laptop. I dont like laptop, too small keypad, makes it hard to do speed typing.

WHAT FOREX IS NOT

Forex is not a quick rich scheme.Forex is not easy even though my blog says so.Forex is not a place for newbieForex is not something you can learn overnightIf you needed the money, dont put it in Forex. Seriously. Go somewhere else.Forex is a journey, enjoy it.There is no such thing as holy grail coz there is no perfection in this world. If perfection exist in this world it would be boring. No more room for improvement.Forex is not rocket science. There is no right or wrong. There is only probability.

TRADING THE DAILY CHARTS

Due to restricted time and Internet connection that I have now, I have opted to trading using the daily charts.Its not as aggressive and thrilling as trading on the shorter time frame but the result is about the same minus the headache. I'm beginning to like daily trading. I need to make decision once in a while and the rest of the time I just hold my position.

On a daily chart, the candlestick is much easier to read and pattern is much clearer. On 13th August I opened 3 position. 2 of which is still holding while 1 has been closed. At the moment all position are in profit. Daily trading is not for everyone.

It took me sometime to adjust on the requirements of daily trading, but once you are there you never look back.Till next time, good luck everyone

DAILY TRADING - THERE IS NO SPOON

Some people are asking me about the secret of daily trading. The answer is there is no secret. It is there for everyone to see but the question is, can you accept what you see.Trading the daily chart requires patience, lots of it. That is what most of us lack. Patience. If you look at the longer timeframe charts, you will see that price will stop or hover around certain areas. That is your key point. Always start or stop trading around these key point. The next indicator I use is CCI. CCI alone is a bit of a headache. So I smooth it out with MA. With the MA, I can see the direction of trade clearly. People say MA is a lagging indicator but I dont want to be early going to a party. I like to enter when the party already started.

The last advice is, there is no such thing as holly grail. You just cannot win all the time. The best that we can do is try to win as much as possible and lose a little as possible. In the long run, it would be profitable enough to stay trading. Otherwise you need to find another business to run.

The Foreign Exchange Market

The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a worldwide decentralized over-the-counter financial market for the trading of currencies. Financial centers around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of different types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends. The foreign exchange market determines the relative values of different currencies.[1]

The primary purpose of the foreign exchange market is to assist international trade and investment, by allowing businesses to convert one currency to another currency. For example, it permits a US business to import European goods and pay Euros, even though the business's income is in US dollars. It also supports speculation, and facilitates the carry trade, in which investors borrow low-yielding currencies and lend (invest in) high-yielding currencies, and which (it has been claimed) may lead to loss of competitiveness in some countries.[2]

In a typical foreign exchange transaction a party purchases a quantity of one currency by paying a quantity of another currency.

The modern foreign exchange market started forming during the 1970s when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system.

The foreign exchange market is unique because of its

* huge trading volume, leading to high liquidity
* geographical dispersion
* continuous operation: 24 hours a day except weekends, i.e. trading from 20:15 GMT on Sunday until 22:00 GMT Friday
* the variety of factors that affect exchange rates
* the low margins of relative profit compared with other markets of fixed income
* the use of leverage to enhance profit margins with respect to account sizeAs such, it has been referred to as the market closest to the ideal of perfect competition, notwithstanding market manipulation by central banks.[citation needed] According to the Bank for International Settlements,[3]

average daily turnover in global foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.98 trillion, as of April 2007. $3.21 Trillion is accounted for in the world's main financial markets.The $3.21 trillion break-down is as follows:
* $1.005 trillion in spot transactions
* $362 billion in outright forwards* $1.714 trillion in foreign exchange swaps
* $129 billion estimated gaps in reporting